A likely impossibility is always preferable to an unconvincing possibility. —Aristotle
It is likely that unlikely things should happen. —Aristotle
Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future.
—Niels Bohr
An expert is someone who knows some of the worst mistakes that can be made in his subject, and how to avoid them. —Werner Heisenberg
Futures Research Center
Research Tracks These are exciting times to be sure! There are endless possibilities and many probabilities for our future.
If you believe that the choices you make today will determine the quality of life for future generations, you can imagine and build a probably successful future.
NOTE: The information available for public access via these tracks is incomplete and in summary form. These public pages are intended for the general reader and lack detailed information and analysis.
The RAND Pardee Center pursues ambitious objectives: to improve our ability to think about the longer-range future--from 35 to as far as 200 years ahead--and to develop new methods of analyzing potential long-range, global effects of today's policy options in order to design sound policies that are sensitive to those effects.
This private, non-profit, non-partisan group is committed to providing the public with full assessments and analyses of technological impacts on society.