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Futures Research Center

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Going too Fast? 
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Bunk Debunker 
As the world continues to become more complex and interconnected, and as messages and media proliferate, we can expect to encounter an increasing number of unusual and extraordinary claims.

B-bullet.gif (846 bytes) Drawing the line between sense and nonsense

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"
It is likely that unlikely things should happen.

 –Aristotle


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Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. 

–Niels Bohr


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I have learned to use the word 'impossible' with the greatest caution.

 –Werner von Braun

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These are exciting times to be sure!

There are endless possibilities and many probabilities for our future.

If you believe that the choices you make today will determine the quality of life for future generations, you can imagine and build a probably successful future.

Restricted Access

 

P .99

Forecast is virtually (99%) certain.

P .1

Forecast has a 10% probability of realization.

T =

If the forecast is true, then <weak / moderate / strong> <positive / adverse> effects can be expected {in Track(s) : <x>}

 

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RAND WILL LOOK FARTHER AHEAD

What will the human condition be like in the year 2100 or 2200? And how might we enhance the quality of life over that period of time? Such questions will be the concern of RAND's new Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition.

The Center is the latest beneficiary of real estate  entrepreneur
Frederick S. Pardee, who also funded the Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future at Boston University (see July 2001 FUTURIST UPDATE). Pardee worked at RAND as a systems analyst from 1957 to 1971.

The Center will explore trends and potential developments over the next 35 to 200 years, seeking ways to evaluate the impacts of these trends on individuals and society.

"Some might regard this as an unlikely topic for serious investigation," says Pardee. "But we're not living in a world that is completely uncertain. We have made important progress in thinking systematically about the future."


 

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Site Description
Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition The RAND Pardee Center pursues ambitious objectives: to improve our ability to think about the longer-range future--from 35 to as far as 200 years ahead--and to develop new methods of analyzing potential long-range, global effects of today's policy options in order to design sound policies that are sensitive to those effects.
International Centre for Technology Assessment This private, non-profit, non-partisan group is committed to providing the public with full assessments and analyses of technological impacts on society.
World meters World Game Institute's up-to-the minute statistics
Environmental News Network Latest information on environmental issues
American Civil Liberties Union America's foremost advocate of individual rights
Amnesty International An activist organization dedicated to freeing prisoners of conscience
Ecological Society of America Current issues in ecological studies
National Science Foundation A basic site for science information
Institute of Medicine Information on current medical research
About.Com (AI) Artificial intelligence (AI) issues covered at About.Com.
Alvin Toffler, PhD. Futurist author of Future Shock
Center for Responsive Politics Research group tracks money in politics
Eurekalert News of advances in science and technology
Full-Sky Astrometric Mapping Explorer (FAME) Mapping outer-space
Futures Community Center Planet-Tech Associates
Hawaii Research Center for Futures Studies Graduate program in futures research
Proceedings of Third World Futures Conference Sponsored by the Hawaii Research Center for Futures Studies
Northern Arizona University: Futures Forum Graduate program in futures research
PEW Research Center

Independent opinion research group studies public attitudes  toward press, politics, and public policy issues.

Potentials Media Learn about futurists and their visions.
Robotics Institute at Carnegie Mellon Hans Moravec
Science Daily Science news reports
World Future Society

International organization monitoring research and developments in field of futurology

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